Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.469411 0.555362 0.650934 0.764843 0.896660 1.044146 1.221398
2025-05-11 0.354816 0.464596 0.597986 0.771090 0.988787 1.252399 1.594582
2025-05-18 0.273441 0.393651 0.552214 0.774585 1.075922 1.467229 2.010470
2025-05-25 0.214585 0.338368 0.514906 0.781170 1.167774 1.702847 2.492041
2025-06-01 0.157727 0.272592 0.449678 0.736594 1.182043 1.837381 2.861042
2025-06-08 0.120187 0.226976 0.404366 0.711904 1.220167 2.011224 3.313308
2025-06-15 0.099597 0.204218 0.390345 0.733479 1.333272 2.314593 4.005931
2025-06-22 0.077184 0.172250 0.353628 0.709377 1.366948 2.497129 4.534704
2025-06-29 0.062078 0.150222 0.329908 0.703386 1.430381 2.737619 5.192888
2025-07-06 0.049360 0.129485 0.303869 0.687456 1.472420 2.946310 5.824446
2025-07-13 0.043951 0.123659 0.307176 0.730807 1.635059 3.395508 6.946186
2025-07-20 0.038445 0.115985 0.304714 0.761453 1.777116 3.824637 8.084197
2025-07-27 0.033539 0.110168 0.309629 0.820388 2.012618 4.516639 9.917703
2025-08-03 0.026735 0.096618 0.292603 0.826574 2.140428 5.024423 11.490323
2025-08-10 0.021201 0.084455 0.275694 0.829944 2.266368 5.558249 13.220478
2025-08-17 0.016924 0.074321 0.261243 0.836692 2.404832 6.150086 15.184127
2025-08-24 0.012298 0.060304 0.230155 0.789040 2.397725 6.415142 16.483708
2025-08-31 0.009254 0.050513 0.208591 0.762614 2.441268 6.810866 18.155601
2025-09-07 0.007665 0.045985 0.203322 0.785482 2.628113 7.595380 20.879513
2025-09-14 0.005790 0.038714 0.184916 0.759748 2.669472 8.019755 22.799426
2025-09-21 0.004548 0.033724 0.173179 0.753316 2.768485 8.616236 25.252219
2025-09-28 0.003498 0.028885 0.159760 0.736317 2.830870 9.126203 27.566188
2025-10-05 0.003086 0.027724 0.162408 0.782429 3.113079 10.306557 31.845574